Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001596 0.001775 0.001956 0.002151 0.002355 0.002562 0.002788
2025-01-12 0.001370 0.001632 0.001905 0.002208 0.002533 0.002870 0.003244
2025-01-19 0.001115 0.001431 0.001771 0.002159 0.002585 0.003035 0.003543
2025-01-26 0.000931 0.001289 0.001687 0.002152 0.002674 0.003234 0.003874
2025-02-02 0.000775 0.001164 0.001609 0.002143 0.002752 0.003416 0.004185
2025-02-09 0.000702 0.001127 0.001628 0.002238 0.002945 0.003723 0.004631
2025-02-16 0.000596 0.001040 0.001578 0.002249 0.003037 0.003914 0.004948
2025-02-23 0.000466 0.000906 0.001463 0.002174 0.003025 0.003984 0.005124
2025-03-02 0.000359 0.000791 0.001362 0.002109 0.003018 0.004054 0.005298
2025-03-09 0.000274 0.000694 0.001275 0.002056 0.003020 0.004131 0.005475
2025-03-16 0.000212 0.000622 0.001216 0.002031 0.003053 0.004241 0.005689
2025-03-23 0.000188 0.000608 0.001233 0.002103 0.003201 0.004486 0.006057
2025-03-30 0.000141 0.000558 0.001213 0.002148 0.003346 0.004760 0.006500
2025-04-06 0.000103 0.000515 0.001202 0.002206 0.003509 0.005061 0.006981
2025-04-13 0.000054 0.000427 0.001114 0.002157 0.003539 0.005203 0.007278
2025-04-20 0.000025 0.000365 0.001060 0.002151 0.003619 0.005405 0.007647
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000309 0.001007 0.002141 0.003694 0.005600 0.008008
2025-05-04 0.000003 0.000297 0.001028 0.002237 0.003905 0.005962 0.008569
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000256 0.000992 0.002247 0.004003 0.006185 0.008963
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000194 0.000904 0.002173 0.003985 0.006262 0.009180
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000143 0.000825 0.002108 0.003975 0.006345 0.009403
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000104 0.000758 0.002054 0.003978 0.006442 0.009640
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000076 0.000711 0.002030 0.004017 0.006584 0.009930